Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.180040 0.205845 0.234675 0.269387 0.310200 0.356844 0.414447
2025-12-07 0.137399 0.170747 0.211815 0.266605 0.338537 0.430795 0.559767
2025-12-14 0.114172 0.150625 0.198805 0.268190 0.367291 0.506442 0.721521
2025-12-21 0.098078 0.135557 0.187922 0.268096 0.390771 0.576556 0.889525
2025-12-28 0.088053 0.126647 0.183218 0.274608 0.423301 0.664505 1.104683
2026-01-04 0.079588 0.118447 0.177813 0.278330 0.451041 0.749150 1.334863
2026-01-11 0.072781 0.111657 0.173291 0.282189 0.478919 0.838743 1.597183
2026-01-18 0.067793 0.106983 0.171304 0.289620 0.513875 0.947801 1.928364
2026-01-25 0.062478 0.101054 0.166320 0.290736 0.536925 1.038308 2.246708
2026-02-01 0.057695 0.095430 0.161070 0.290385 0.556740 1.126046 2.585713
2026-02-08 0.053154 0.089707 0.154903 0.287251 0.570098 1.202463 2.921528
2026-02-15 0.049095 0.084406 0.148864 0.283419 0.581136 1.275836 3.274194
2026-02-22 0.046768 0.082097 0.148294 0.290943 0.619395 1.424871 3.901894
2026-03-01 0.043282 0.077282 0.142369 0.286359 0.629114 1.505703 4.360530
2026-03-08 0.040806 0.074149 0.139413 0.287802 0.653600 1.631825 5.021245
2026-03-15 0.038422 0.070961 0.135978 0.287650 0.674103 1.752593 5.721135
2026-03-22 0.036920 0.069378 0.135686 0.294709 0.714729 1.943243 6.778824
2026-03-29 0.035278 0.067354 0.134222 0.298747 0.748129 2.122077 7.891576
2026-04-05 0.033782 0.065490 0.132899 0.302936 0.782915 2.316353 9.190044
2026-04-12 0.032687 0.064368 0.133097 0.311006 0.830822 2.570719 10.939092
2026-04-19 0.031186 0.062240 0.130787 0.312219 0.858453 2.763155 12.519803
2026-04-26 0.029697 0.060012 0.128020 0.311838 0.881182 2.945766 14.189597
2026-05-03 0.028134 0.057495 0.124329 0.308433 0.893613 3.093514 15.780623